Sunday, October 19, 2008

Unscientific Thoughts

A couple of quick observations.

1) I live in Los Angeles and at this time four years ago I would see Kerry/Edwards bumper stickers aplenty on the highways, in parking garages, etc. While I certainly see more Obama stickers than McCain/Palin (the "Biden" is usually either not on the sticker at all or in a color intentionally designed to cover-up that bad mistake) they are very few and far between.

2) I do my writing at a coffee shop in LA. I always have on either a McCain/Palin button and sometimes one of several McCain and/or Palin tee-shirts. I sit always in a conspiruous place near the front door (that's where the electrical outlet is for my computer). The number of people who lean in and whisper "like your shirt" or "love your pin" is overwhelming.

Obviously these are not scientific surveys (as if polling is "scientific" -- you know, like "Ethnic Studies" is political "science") but this has been the pattern now for months and just one more piece of information that says McCain/Palin are doing far better than the folks who have gotten it wrong (and always in favor of the leftist candidate) for the past many elections.


Mats said...

From your pen to Gods Ears, I sure do hope your unscientific survey reflects the true wishes of americans.

I live in Portugal, but I am sick and tired of Obama, and the adulation the socialist media gives to him.

Anonymous said...

What you may not have understood, Evan, is that when Obama/Biden supporters see you wearing your Mccain/Palin t-shirt and button they write you off and purposely avoid you. In addition, many of the people who "compliment" you on the shirt and button may be laughing at you. "Very unscientific" thoughts indeed.

Anonymous said...

Look Evan, another unscientific study involving coffee!

Obama Wins Florida (in the 7-11 Coffee Election)

Thu Oct 16, 2008 at 04:58:23 PM

7/11 is holding its third "7-Election" in which coffee drinkers "vote" by choosing either a McCain or Obama cup, and Obama is currently leading 59% to 41%. He's winning Florida with 56% of the vote, too.
Haha, how silly? Right? Well the previous 7-elections showed George Bush beating Al Gore by only 1%, and in 2002 matched the actual national outcome with Bush getting 51% of the vote to Kerry's 49%.

Me? I'm claiming voter disenfranchisement until 7/11 opens a store in Midtown. Even then, I'd probably choose third party candidate Sen. Dietcoke Super-Gulp and her running mate Gov. 3-Cookies-for-a-$1.

--Kyle Munzenrieder

Category: Election 2008

ytba said...


They need to make up the shortfall in real voters.

ASIDE - The weather report said "flurries," so my school went ahead with the senior class trip. When the "flurries" started to accumulate, we got on the bus and headed back home. By the time we returned @ 2:00 AM there was over a foot of accumulated "flurries," and by morning there was about 2 feet.

Evan sees the way the wind is blowing, and it ain't in the direction it has to be for the forecasters to be right. Bottom line, there are predictions and there is reality. Hopefully the reality will be reflected by the "unscientific" but very real indications, not the Obama hopefuls foolish hopes.

Evan Sayet said...

Look, the thugs are going to try and steal the election. In fact, Obama has never actually won an election. He used chicanery to force his opponent off of the ballot when he first stole his position in the Illinois Legislature, he then had his goons dig up sealed court records from his Senate opponent's divorce trial and forced HIM out of the race. With Hillary he lost virtually every legitimate vote (primaries) and won only in primaries where votes are public and thus intimidation of voters siding with the "wrong" person that much easier. Even then, in the end, Hillary had more votes than Obama who only got the nomination by having the unelected "super delegates" hand it to him.

Obama is a gangster in the "best" Chicago fashion. He is Jesse Jackson and his shakedown game with a slightly prettier face.

ytba said...

"Look, the thugs are going to try and steal the election." - Evan Sayet

Yes, and all other things being equal they should lose, especially with our modern ability to identify vote fraud and prevent it. However, all other things are not equal, and sanity seems in ever shorter supply...
Supreme Court Rules-- Will Allow Voter Fraud in Ohio

Hopefully we can beat them back enough to win. But, if after a McCain win nothing is done to reform (shut down) ACORN and the other subversives, if nothing is done to stem the tide of the socialist assault on our way of life, then we only make the likelihood of their future success that much greater.

p.s. -- Thank you, Evan, for your excellent observations on Leftists and the danger they pose.

Are you aware of the work of the very prolific John Ray?

NOTE- His blog roll is at the bottom of those links. [I don't agree with everything he says, especially his religious stuff (I'm an Orthodox Jew), but as to worldly matters, he's pretty darn accurate.]

He's another of my favorite expositors on the insanity of the Left, as is "Dr. Sanity".

Dan Kurt said...

Yesterday I heard my doorbell ring. My wife was away so before I could answer it I had to collar our crazy but lovable Poodle and catch our adolescent cat locking them in a bathroom in the front hall. When I finally got to open the door minutes later I found our mailman at the door handing me the small amount of mail that came. Uncharacteristically for a mailman, he was not in a rush. Normally he places the mail in a mail box that he can fill from his ( British style: driver on the right ) mail truck.

Grinning, he said: "Where can I get a yard sign like this?" as he turned and pointed to a McCain/Palin yard sign up the slope from our house just by the road. My wife had just purchased two of the signs from the totally disorganized ( what else is new ) local Republican Women's organization. [Can you believe that the inept Republicans are CHARGING ( asking for a donation ) for McCain/Palin yard signs?] I remembered the name of the woman my wife obtained the sign from, as the woman's husband put a new roof on our house ( Guaranteed for 50 years as I am an OPTIMIST! ) during the summer of 2007. Needless to say, I gave the mailman the name of the woman to get the sign. He thanked me and left. Bty, the mailman is relatively new to me and a man in appearance of about 35 years of age whose name I don't know.

We live in a Democrat dominated area with 2 large State Universities and a large State College all within 30 miles filled with logic tight waaay left of center minds. The two local and one regional newspapers are shrill left wing sirens. Two neighbors close enough to our house that I could throw a baseball from our property and hit their yards have OBAMA signs in place. One of the neighbors with the OBAMA signage is an accountant and has a Republican ( RINO ) brother who is a State Senator and the other is a retired professor who I am sure poisoned the minds of generations of numbskull students.

I was shocked, shocked I tell you that a postman would dare to want a McCain/Palin yard sign.

Maybe there is a chance.

Dan Kurt

Anonymous said...

GOP voter fraud alleged
Complaints say firm duped some to switch parties

October 19, 2008

SACRAMENTO, Calif. - Dozens of newly minted Republican voters say they were duped into joining the party by a GOP contractor with a trail of fraud complaints stretching across the United States.

Voters contacted by the Los Angeles Times said they were tricked into switching parties while signing what they believed were petitions for tougher penalties against child molesters.

Some said they were told that they had to become Republicans to sign the petition, contrary to California initiative law. Others had no idea their registration was being changed.

"I am not a Republican," insisted Karen Ashcraft, 47, a pet clinic manager from Ventura who said she was a Democrat duped by a signature gatherer into joining the GOP. "I certainly ... won't sign anything in front of a grocery store ever again."

This bait-and-switch scheme is familiar to elections experts. The firm hired by the California Republican Party - a small company called Young Political Majors, or YPM, which operates in several states - has been accused of using the tactic across the country.

Elections officials and lawmakers have launched investigations into the activities of YPM staff in Florida and Massachusetts. In Arizona, the firm was recently a defendant in a civil rights lawsuit.

Prosecutors in Los Angeles and Ventura counties say they are investigating complaints about the company. YPM, which a Republican Party spokesman said is paid $7 to $12 for each registration it secures, has denied any wrongdoing and says it has never been charged with a crime.

The 70,000 voters YPM has registered for the Republican Party will help combat the public perception it is struggling amid Democratic gains nationally, give a boost to fundraising efforts and bolster member support for party leaders, political strategists from both parties say.

Those who were formerly Democrats will stop receiving phone calls and literature from that party, perhaps affecting its get-out-the-vote efforts.

Those voters also will be given only a Republican ballot in the next primary election if they do not switch their registration back before then.

Some also report having their registration status changed to absentee without their permission, so that if they show up at the polls without a ballot they may be unable to vote.

The Times randomly interviewed 46 of the hundreds of voters whose election records show they were recently re-registered as Republicans by YPM, and 37 of them - more than 80 percent - said they were misled into making the change or that it was done without their knowledge. The document those voters thought was an initiative petition has no legal implications.

YPM and Republican Party officials said they were surprised by the complaints. Every person registered signs an affidavit confirming they voluntarily joined the GOP, party leaders said.

look at the thugs, she said...

Huge Republican Voter Registration Fraud Uncovered by LA Times. 80% of People Surveyed Were Dems or Independents Duped Into Registering as Republicans! Where is the FBI on This One?

oh, look, there're more, she said...

Republicans Behaving Like Terrorists: GOP party leaders in Sacramento County took down offensive material on their official party Web site that linked Sen. Barack Obama to Osama bin Laden and encouraged torture of the Illinois senator, the Sacramento Bee reported Wednesday. 10/20

d. simes said...

Just when the poor cretins had there hopes up again:

October 19, 2008
Gallup Daily:

Obama Retains Significant Lead

USA Election 2008 Gallup Daily Barack Obama's advantage over John McCain in the presidential race has again widened to 10 percentage points among registered voters, 52% to 42%, in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Oct. 16-18.

ytba said...

"...a GOP contractor with a trail of fraud complaints stretching across the United States."

a group which, unlike the infamous ACORN, no one has heard of until these Democrat allegations, obviously contrived to take the heat off ACORN.

But even if they changed voter registration it doesn't affect the vote, so it's kind of a waste of time. Unlike ACORN, who's "registrants" actually cast fraudulent votes (which is a really dangerous crime), getting someone to switch parties is like a crank call. It sounds made up to me.

And, a quick check shows that the Dems, as usual, "embellished" the story.

Anonymous said...

McCain's ACORN/Ayers delusion

Just when did Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity hijack the McCain campaign?

Someone should have told the senator from Arizona that Hannity and Limbaugh are not actual journalists, they are mere performance artists who got where they are by riling up an audience of like-minded loonies with wild distortions and scary conspiracy theories. Someone running for president is less likely to achieve success by going a similar route. Yet John McCain's campaign has devolved into just such a charade.

In recent weeks, the Republican candidate and his surrogates have latched onto right wing radio's latest obsessions: ACORN and Ayers. ACORN -- the acronym for Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now -- has come under fire in several states for submitting voter registration forms filled with bogus names. Because Barack Obama did legal work for the group in the mid-1990s and because his campaign gave ACORN thousands of dollars for their voter registration efforts, the right wing commentariat has tried to churn the issue into a major scandal. McCain, in the third presidential debate, joined this chorus by saying ACORN was close to "perpetrating one of the greatest frauds in voter history... maybe destroying the fabric of democracy."

McCain's desperate embrace of this issue shows he has apparently lost his sense of proportion or capacity for logical thinking. The reality is that the phony registrations were produced by $8-an-hour canvassers hired off the streets to gather names. Apparently, a number of them didn't want to go to the trouble of signing up real people and, instead, picked names randomly from telephone books or simply wrote in the names of sports stars and fictitious characters, such as Mickey Mouse. For a good explanation of how this little fraud was perpetrated in Washington state, check out Gregory Roberts' report in the Post-Intelligencer.

The salient fact that eluded McCain and that is conveniently overlooked by the Hannity's of the world is that, if there is a victim of this deception, it is not "the fabric of democracy," it is ACORN itself. As King County's Republican prosecutor, Dan Satterberg, told the P-I, the lazy signature gatherers "cheated their employers to get paid for work they did not actually perform." There was never any threat of a stolen election for the obvious reason that, even if some of the fake registrations had slipped through the cracks, an election cannot be compromised by voters who do not exist. In other words, Mickey Mouse can be listed on the roll of voters, but Mickey Mouse is not going to show up to vote. (If you still have trouble understanding this, read a more complete explanation in Newsweek.)

And then there is Bill Ayers, a '60s radical who was busy trying to blow up government buildings when Barack Obama was still in grade school. All these years later, Ayers is a college professor and educational reformer in Chicago with whom Obama served on a civic board for a few years. This tenuous association has driven the McCain campaign, and particularly vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin, to rant about Obama "palling around with terrorists." By this measure, someone could take a shot at McCain for accepting money from someone who pals around with terrorists because one of the Republican members of the same civic board that included Obama and Ayers is also a big contributor to the McCain campaign.

This continuing attack line -- that Obama is trying to steal the election and that he hangs out with terrorists -- is such a transparent warping of the facts, and is so far afield from the issues about which most voters seem concerned, that it suggests McCain has lost his grip on his own campaign. Is this all they've got? Has McCain become so captive to Karl Rove-style hacks that he can't think for himself? Even dredging up the bombastic Rev. Jeremiah Wright would make more sense than this obsession with ACORN and Ayers. Obama and Wright, after all, had a long and close relationship that makes even some Democrats pause and wonder why their candidate let it go on so long. However, McCain refuses to go there -- probably because the Wright issue would pull the debate into a sensitive realm of race that he'd just as soon avoid.

But Ayers and ACORN? Those are duds in the campaign arsenal. They are mud balls of mendacity that dry up and blow away in the sun of rational analysis. McCain only muddies his own good name by throwing them

Anonymous said...

GOP voter registration fraud case leads to arrest

Mark Jacoby, who was arrested in Ontario and owns a firm hired by the California Republican Party, violated state registration laws, authorities say.
By Evan Halper, Los Angeles Times Staff Writer
2:38 PM PDT, October 19, 2008
SACRAMENTO -- The owner of a firm that the California Republican Party hired to register tens of thousands of voters this year was arrested in Ontario late last night on suspicion of voter registration fraud.

State and local investigators allege that Mark Jacoby fraudulently registered himself to vote at a childhood California address where he no longer lives so he would appear to meet the legal requirement that signature gatherers be eligible to vote in California.

Jacoby's arrest by state investigators and the Ontario Police Department comes after dozens of voters said they were duped into registering as Republicans by his firm, Young Political Majors, or YPM. The voters said YPM tricked them by saying they were signing a petition to toughen penalties against child molesters. The firm was paid $7 to $12 for every Californian it registered as a member of the GOP.

Several agencies had launched investigations into Jacoby's activities, including the Los Angeles County district attorney's office, which issued the warrant for his arrest earlier this month on felony charges of voter registration fraud and perjury.

Efforts to reach Jacoby were unsuccessful.

tapeworm poison said...

wow...this ytba guy is colon dweller...the big story has ALWAYS been GOP voter fraud going back to the 2000 election.

The only deflection going on here is the utterly phony ACORN non-story and all their other phony crap from Ayers to the pathetic Muslim tairist bit.

ytba said...

the parasite wants us to believe his lies that ACORN isn't a criminal outfit. HA!

Indicted, back in '06...

Earlier this month...

And Obama and the Demoncraps are in it up to their eyeballs...

see here, also

But don't expact facts to mean anything to them. They prefer to gobble up O'Bunko's pigvomit.


The Demoncraps own that franchize.

see also here

and here

...and that's only the tip of the iceberg.

Sure, you might find an occaisional Republican who does it, but with the Dems it's a major industry that MUST be shut down!